NAVI fall outside CS2 Major contenders for first time

NAVI fall outside CS2 Major contenders for first time AI

An updated simulation by analyst Mischief, reported 2 October 2026, places Natus Vincere (NAVI) among teams currently outside the projected qualifiers for the PGL Singapore Major — the first time this has happened in the organisation’s history. The model lists NAVI with a roughly 51.5% qualification probability and an expected ranking range of 8–37. Kyiv fans follow NAVI closely; this simulation marks a rare competitive dip for Ukraine’s most famous CS2 team and matters for upcoming qualifier matches.

Sport.ua reports (2 October 2026) that analyst Mischief’s latest simulation now places Natus Vincere (NAVI) among teams currently not in the cut for the PGL Singapore Major — the first such placement in the organisation’s history. The simulation assigns NAVI about a 51.5% chance of qualifying and an expected final ranking window between 8th and 37th.

The same forecast gives B8 Esports a 93% chance (expected ranking 9–18) and IC Esports a 67% chance (10–24). Fnatic are listed well outside the cut with a 1.7% chance and a 25–40 ranking range. Mischief’s model still shows Spirit, Vitality, MOUZ, G2, FUT Esports and Aurora Gaming with at least 99.98% odds of qualifying.

Sport.ua cites Mischief’s updated simulation and the analyst’s tweet summarising recent results; readers should follow match results and official standings as qualifiers continue to unfold.

Know what Kyiv knows.